Oregon
W-L: (24-12) PR = 97.0216Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) **-59 1108 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 90-47 1111 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 84-66 1116 A Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 80-55 1119 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 86-59 1123 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 70-34 1125 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 71-53 1127 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 84-46 1130 A Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 58-53 1203 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 96-73 1207 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 59-80 1214 A Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 69-44 1218 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 85-59 1221 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 53-64 1229 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) **-92 101 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 87-54 106 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 71-66 111 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 81-85 115 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 66-74 118 H Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 121 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 60-65 124 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 89-59 128 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 74-53 131 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 68-61 204 A Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 76-73 208 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 64-80 215 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 43-51 219 A Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 80-76 222 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 65-72 225 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 71-65 301 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 69-70 304 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 82-64 305 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 73-68 306 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 58-80 320 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 70-60 322 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 58-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A We Georgia **-59 41 4 0.00
1108 A Montana 90-47 43 4 0.00
1111 A Grand Canyon 84-66 18 3 0.00
1116 A Army 80-55 25 3 0.00
1119 A Wash St 86-59 27 3 0.00
1123 A Utah State 70-34 36 5 0.00
1125 A Saint Marys 71-53 18 3 0.00
1127 A Old Dominion 84-46 38 3 0.00
1130 A Auburn 58-53 5 1 0.60
1203 A Oregon State 96-73 23 2 0.28
1207 H UCLA 59-80 -21 -3 0.00
1214 A Montana St 69-44 25 2 0.13
1218 A Portland 85-59 26 2 0.00
1221 H Stanford 53-64 -11 1 - -3.30
1229 H Michigan **-92 12 -1 + 3.01
101 A Northwestern 87-54 33 2 0.00
106 A USC 71-66 5 0 1.83
111 H Michigan St 81-85 -4 0 -1.84
115 H Iowa 66-74 -8 -1 -1.07
121 H Minnesota 60-65 -5 0 -1.77
124 A Penn St 89-59 30 2 0.46
128 A Rutgers 74-53 21 2 0.00
131 A Maryland 68-61 7 0 + 2.21
204 A Illinois 76-73 3 0 1.69
208 H Ohio St 64-80 -16 -1 -1.11
215 H Washington 43-51 -8 0 - -2.04
219 A Nebraska 80-76 4 1 1.34
222 H Indiana 65-72 -7 1 - -2.95
225 A Purdue 71-65 6 1 0.54
301 H Washington 69-70 -1 0 -1.04
304 A Purdue 82-64 18 1 0.54
305 A Maryland 73-68 5 0 + 2.21
306 H Michigan 58-80 -22 -1 -0.99
320 A Va Tech 70-60 10 1 1.26
322 H Texas 58-** -42 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 H Stanford 53-64 -11 1 - -3.30 215 H Washington 43-51 -8 0 - -2.04 222 H Indiana 65-72 -7 1 - -2.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1229 H Michigan **-92 12 -1 + 3.01 131 A Maryland 68-61 7 0 + 2.21 305 A Maryland 73-68 5 0 + 2.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) **-59 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.87 7.54
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 90-47 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.87 6.84
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 84-66 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.87 9.01
3 A Army (26- 7, 94.4) 80-55 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.87 9.54
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 86-59 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.87 8.08
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 70-34 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.87 6.16
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 71-53 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.87 8.57
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 84-46 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.87 9.63
3 A Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 58-53 -4.29 6.67 0.01 0.87 11.58
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 96-73 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.87 11.03
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 59-80 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.87 -0.00
3 A Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 69-44 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.87 10.77
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 85-59 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.87 9.71
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 53-64 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.87 -1.81
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) **-92 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.87 15.77
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 87-54 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.87 10.07
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 71-66 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.87 13.73
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 81-85 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 0.87 -1.18
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 66-74 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.87 -0.84
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 60-65 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.87 -1.15
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 89-59 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.87 11.35
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 74-53 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.87 9.75
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 68-61 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.87 14.38
3 A Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 76-73 -3.20 7.76 0.01 0.87 13.48
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 64-80 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.87 -0.86
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 43-51 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.87 -1.27
3 A Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 80-76 -3.55 7.41 0.01 0.87 12.86
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 65-72 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 0.87 -1.66
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 71-65 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.87 11.49
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 69-70 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.87 -1.27
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 82-64 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.87 11.49
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 73-68 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.87 14.38
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 58-80 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.87 -0.81
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 70-60 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.87 12.74
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 58-** -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.87 -0.35
------
248.75
|
winning pts = 259.9585 losing points = -11.2038
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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